02 Dec, 2016
SURVEY: Hong Kong and Shanghai business leaders are positive about Trump presidency
The business communities of two of Asia’s top financial centres are “mainly positive about the Donald Trump presidency”, according to a new survey by one of the world’s largest independent financial consultancies.
The survey, carried out by deVere Shanghai and Acuma Hong Kong, both part of deVere Group, was undertaken two weeks after the billionaire business tycoon turned reality TV star was named president-elect of the US after a surprise win against Hillary Clinton.
More than 650 business professionals participated in Hong Kong, Asia’s influential powerhouse ‘world city’, and Shanghai, mainland China’s financial and commercial capital. Currently, Hong Kong is ranked fourth and Shanghai sixteenth on the Global Financial Centres Index (GFCI), which ranks international financial hubs’ competitiveness twice a year.
Doug Tucker, deVere Group’s Head of East Asia, comments: “A team of graduates consisting of the financial professionals of tomorrow from the deVere Academy interviewed over 650 people in Hong Kong’s bustling business districts of Central and Kowloon and in Shanghai’s Financial District, Lujiazui”.
“Those who were interviewed for the survey included local and international hedge fund managers, C-suite executives of major financial institutions, and individuals running SMEs providing professional and support services”.
“Whilst many of those surveyed may hold wildly different political views to the President-Elect, the consensus is mainly positive about the Donald Trump presidency”.
He continues: “The results of the survey reveal that the majority of Hong Kong and Shanghai’s business communities believe that Mr Trump will have a positive impact on the global economy. They also believe that the election result will have a positive effect on their assets in the medium term”.
“Interestingly however, one area on which there was concern expressed was Trump’s tax policies. The majority of those interviewed cited that overall they disagree with his policies on taxation”.
Please see a breakdown of the results below.
Mr Tucker continues: “Despite his somewhat unorthodox approach to many issues, the business leaders and professionals of Asia’s ‘world city’ and China’s financial capital appear to be generally optimistic about the incoming 45th US president”.
“Hong Kong and Shanghai’s business communities – savvy as ever and always keen for a ‘win win’ - are aware that the new era that is approaching will provide major opportunities. They are, it would seem, preparing to capitalise on these”.
“They understand that with change comes waves of volatility and history shows that volatility always creates opportunity”.
“For example, under the Trump presidency the US banking sector is expected to do well due to the eradication of some regulations, the lifting of environmental rules will boost the energy and mining sectors and the pharmaceutical sector will surge if Obamacare is abandoned or scaled down”.
Mr Tucker concludes: “Those who have a properly diversified portfolio - this includes across asset classes, sectors and geographical regions and currency exposure - and a good fund manager, who carefully selects the right investments at the right time, will be best-placed to be able to build wealth in these changing times”.
The six primary questions asked:
1) Were you surprised by the result? Yes 68% / No 32%
2) Do you think Trump will have a positive or negative effect on the global economy? Positive 55% / negative 45%
3) Overall do you agree with Trump’s tax policies? Yes 42% / No 58%
4) Will your industry be affected? Yes 90% / No 10%
5) Will the election result have a positive or negative effect on your assets in the medium term? Positive 66% / Negative 34%
6) Will the election result have an effect on where you move next or where you retire? 97% No / 3 % Yes
Today's earlier news - WTO rules Boeing tax break unlawful